In the changeover to the new ForPrin.com platform, some of the convenient aliases were no longer pointing at the correct pages. The aliases include conflictforecasting.com, marketsforforecasting.com, pollyvote.com, politicalforecasting.com, publicpolicyforecasting.com, and terrorismforecasting.com. They should all be working again, now. Please tell This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. if you know of any links to the ForPrin.com site that are not currently working.
Quantitative forecasts, together with a confidence intervals or prediction intervals, are much more useful than p values or statements about statistical significance. A new book by Geoff Cumming, Understanding The New Statistics (Routledge, 2012),

The Econometric Society Australasian Meeting (ESAM) will be held in Melbourne, Australia, from the 3rd to 6th of June 2012. For details, see the Conferences Page.

Welcome to the new look Forecasting Principles site! 

The old site platform was getting creaky, code was becoming corrupted, and replacement was overdue. After a marathon effort by the good people of Zoe Design, the site is in good shape again,

To be held in Boston, Massachusetts, from 24 to 27 June in 2012, the International Symposium on Forecasting is the paramount event for professional forecasters and forecasting