Please provide a description of how your study provides evidence on the forecasting principles, using the numbering scheme in the Summary Description of Forecasting Principles.

If possible, link to the abstract or full text of your paper. The first paper for this section, by Paul Goodwin, provides a model.

Send an electronic version of the paper to This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. for posting on the site and include your e-mail address.