Some places are still available for Lancaster's course starting on 2-3 December with a second two-day block by arrangement. Some experience in forecasting is assumed. The course will consist of hands-on-training (using mainly MS Excel) on:
- Fundamentals of forecasting
- Statistical forecasting methods
- Limitations of Naive methods
- The effect of moving & weighted averages
- Selecting and Parameterising Exponential Smoothing methods
- Econometric methods
- Understanding single regression
- Extending information to multiple regression
- Building dynamic regression including dummy variables & seasonality
- Forecast evaluation through unbiased forecast errors
- Role & adequate use of judgement in forecasting
- Examples of Forecasting software etc.
A new Foresight Anthology is now available. The Anthology is titled "How to Evaluate, Manage, and Improve Your Forecasting Process." You can inspect the Anthology contents and place an order here. The price is $45 or $19 for IIF members and Foresight subscribers. More information about the journal Foresight is available on our Journals page.
The web site for the 2010 International Symposium on Forecasting in San Diego, California, is now up and running. The conference is to be held from 20 to 23 June at the Manchester Grand Hyatt. Key dates include 4 January, deadline for submission of invited session proposals, and 1 March, deadline for abstract submission. Go to the Conferences Page for more information and a link to the ISF site.
The October-December 2009 issue of the International Journal of Forecasting is out and includes a special section on "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability" edited by Spyros Makridakis and Nassim Taleb. The 11 papers in the special section include ones on forecasting in business and economics, medicine, and for public policy (e.g. Green, Armstrong, & Soon's paper on whether it is possible to forecast global temperatures). The issue also includes an article on forecasting economic and financial variables with Global VARs with seven commentaries and a rejoinder, and an obituary for forecasting pioneer Sir Clive Granger (1934-2009). The table of contents with links to the articles is available here.