If you have recently published a paper or have a working paper that is relevant to forecasting principles, send it to us along with a short summary and we will post your news item and the paper on the Forprin.com site. Your work will be exposed to nearly 7,000 visits per day. We reserve the right to edit the news item.
Scott Armstrong, Kesten Green, and Willie Soon made a submission titled "Global Warming Alarm Based on Faulty Forecasting Procedures" on the State Department's report:
"Our research findings challenge the basic assumptions of the State Department’s Fifth U.S. Climate Action Report (CAR 2010). The alarming forecasts of dangerous manmade global warming are not the product of proper scientific evidence-based forecasting methods..." Go to the Public Policy Forecasting pages for details.
Experimentation is an important forecasting method, and it is appropriate to give it explicit recognition. To that end we have added "experimentation" to the Forecasting Methodology Tree and the Forecasting Method Selection Tree. Earlier changes you may have missed include the addition of the versatile "index method" to both Trees.
Want the latest news on the International Symposium on Forecasting in San Diego this June? We have added a button in the right menu bar of the main page of the ForPrin.com site that will take you straight to the ISF site.