This page is for researchers, practitioners, and students who want to know about papers related to forecasting principles. Papers with information on forecasting principlesFull-text copies of most of the other papers can be obtained through JSTOR or Business Premier (EBSCO) at subscribing institutions. Special Issue on "Simple versus Complex Forecasting"A Special Issue of the Journal of Business Research (Volume 68, Issue 8, pp 1657-1818), guest edited by Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong, is devoted to evidence on the effect of simplicity versus complexity on forecast accuracy. The Table of Contents for the Special Issue is available from the link below. The issue includes a summary of the evidence in the first paper, and a paper describing a unifying theory of forecasting, the Golden Rule of Forecasting. Reviews of important papers on forecastingAdd your papers to the RePEc Archive or the Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MPRA)You may add your own materials to RePEc through a department or institutional archive. All institutions are welcome to join and contribute their materials by establishing and maintaining their own RePEc archive. RePEc does not support personal archives (only institutional archives). Working Papers by authors seeking reviews and adviceIf you would like your paper posted here, please send a copy or a URL to This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. YOUR PAPER COULD BE HERE!
Papers with information on forecasting principlesThe papers below are provided in full text (PDF format). Articles from Elsevier Science, John Wiley, and other publishers have been reproduced with permission. Single copies of these articles may be downloaded and printed for the reader's personal research and study. Researchers are invited to submit relevant papers. 2011
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Reviews of important papers on forecasting before 1985J. Scott Armstrong's summaries and critiques (written from 1982 to 1985 for the Journal of Forecasting) of important articles on forecasting originally appeared in various major journals. Authors of the original papers were invited to comment, and they did so in almost all cases. The list is not comprehensive; it is simply a selection of papers that were thought to be important. These summaries are reproduced here with the kind permission of the journals' editors and John Wiley. Click on the author[s] and date to read the review.
Reviews of important papers on forecasting from 1985 and onJ. Scott Armstrong's summaries and critiques of important articles on forecasting originally appeared in the International Journal of Forecasting and other major journals. Authors of the original papers were invited to comment, and they did so in almost all cases. The list is not comprehensive; it is simply a selection of papers that were thought to be important. Papers from the International Journal of Forecasting were not included. These summaries are reproduced here with the kind permission of the journals' editors and Elesevier Science. Click on the author[s] and date to read the review.
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