The recent International Symposium on Forecasting in Boston included a panel session on Evidence-based Improvements to Climate Forecasting. The session consisted of a paper by Kesten Green, Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon commenting on the recent contribution on the topic in the IJF by Robert Fildes and Nikolaos Kourentzes followed by commentary from Leonard Smith, Richard Lindzen, and Robert Fildes. The authors of the feature paper made suggestions for further useful and low-cost research on climate forecasting. They found that evidence-based research on climate forecasting has to-date strengthened the conclusion that there is no support from scientific forecasts for fear of dangerous manmade global warming. For copies of the relevant papers and a temperature forecasting quiz, see the Public Policy Forecasting special interest group, here.
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