Revision of principle on statistical significance

16 March 2010 - Given the accumulation of evidence, Principle 13.29 is being revised. We propose re-stating it to read: “Do not use measures of statistical significance to assess the validity of a forecasting... Read more

Evidence on the recommendation to think about roles to forecast decisions in conflict situations

14 March 2010 - Have you ever been told you should "stand in the other person's shoes" in order to predict the decisions they will make? This is a common and plausible recommendation in popular... Read more

Evidence on the relative accuracy of group methods

12 March 2010 -Andreas Graefe and Scott Armstrong report on results from an experiment on the relative accuracy of three structured approaches compared to traditional face-to-face meetings. The four methods were... Read more

SAS/IIF 2010 Grants to promote research on forecasting

04 March 2010 - For the eighth year running the International Institute of Forecasters is offering two $5,000 grants, funded by the SAS Institute, to support research on how to improve forecasting methods and... Read more

Abstract submission deadline extended

02 March 2010 - The deadline for submission of abstracts for the 2010 International Symposium on Forecasting has been extended to March 8. The Symposium will be held from June 20 to 23 in San Diego, CA, U.S.A.... Read more

Simple scientific climate forecast continues to beat Al Gore's alarming predictions

01 March 2010 - When uncertainty is high and the situation is complex and not well understood, it is hard to beat a simple no-change forecast. Applying that principle to problem of long term forecasting of... Read more

Deadline for submission of abstracts for ISF: 1 March

24 February 2010 - The Program Committee of the International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF) 2010 invites the submission of abstracts related to the theory and practice of forecasting. The deadline for... Read more

Forthcoming IIF certified courses for demand forecasters

16 February 2010 - IIF certified courses for demand forecasters, planners, and managers in supply chain organizations. Two-day hands-on workshops will be conducted in San Diego (Feb 23-24), Amsterdam (Mar 9-10),... Read more

Principles of Forecasting book

12 February 2010 -Full-text papers available for some of the Priniciples of Forecasting book. The original plan was to make the chapters available for sale. This plan is still underway but is moving slowly. While... Read more

More speakers announced for ISF 2010 in San Diego

05 February 2010 - The announced speakers for the International Symposium on Forecasting in San Diego this June now include Keynote Speakers Greg Allenby (Ohio University), Tim Bollerslev (Duke University),... Read more

Previous news